Atalanta have an excellent record at home this season and will know that a win here could give them a chance to rotate their squad over the busy December period, which could be very important for both their league and cup aspirations. While the visitors will not be a pushover, we feel that the hosts will be too good for them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Sturm Graz
47.78%	24.62%	27.6% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.81% (

-0)

47.19% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.58% (

-0)

69.42% (

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.18% (

-0)

19.82% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.11% (

-0)

51.89% (

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

31.01% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68%

67.32%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 47.78%

Sturm Graz 27.6%

Draw 24.61%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.93% Total : 47.78%	1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.61%	0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.92% Total : 27.6%