SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Anderlecht had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an Anderlecht win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Anderlecht |
59.13% ( -0.6) | 21.85% ( -0.01) | 19.02% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( 1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.86% ( 0.97) | 44.14% ( -0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.48% ( 0.94) | 66.52% ( -0.93) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( 0.13) | 14.57% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.36% ( 0.25) | 42.64% ( -0.25) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.98% ( 1.24) | 37.02% ( -1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.19% ( 1.21) | 73.81% ( -1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.33)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 59.12% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.53% Total : 19.02% |
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