SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Olympiacos |
50.1% ( 0.5) | 23.85% ( 0.02) | 26.06% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.04% ( -0.52) | 44.96% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( -0.51) | 67.32% ( 0.51) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% ( -0) | 18.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.1% ( -0.01) | 48.9% ( 0.01) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( -0.68) | 31.02% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.67% ( -0.8) | 67.34% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.57% Total : 50.1% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.06% |
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