Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 70.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 10.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.32%) and 3-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Coritiba
70.38% ( -1.04)	18.89% ( 0.66)	10.73% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 42.6% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83% (

-1.73)

48.18% (

1.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.67% (

-1.6)

70.33% (

1.61)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.53% (

-0.79)

12.47% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.57% (

-1.67)

38.43% (

1.67)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.67% (

-0.35)

51.33% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.44% (

-0.23)

85.56% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 70.37%

Coritiba 10.73%

Draw 18.89%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Coritiba
2-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.54) 3-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.8% Total : 70.37%	1-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.52% Total : 18.89%	0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.08% Total : 10.73%