Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 9.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
0.97) 
-0.38) 
