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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
VB

Bayern
3 - 0
VfL Bochum

Muller (41'), Coman (64'), Gnabry (73' pen.)
Nagelsmann (43'), Tel (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ordets (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-4 Bayern
Sunday, February 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 VfL Bochum

Although Bochum have undoubtedly hugely improved under Letsch's management, their away form has remained poor. Bayern should be confident of earning a comfortable victory here. Nagelsmann will be keen for his players to secure an early healthy lead, with the 35-year-old likely to have one eye on taking their foot off the gas ahead of his side's forthcoming European tie against PSG on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 89.52%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 3.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.17%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (1.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawVfL Bochum
89.52% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 7.13% (-0.025099999999999 -0.03) 3.35% (-0.0181 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.96% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.5% (0.040000000000006 0.04)18.5% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.07% (0.058999999999997 0.06)35.92% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.54% (0.010999999999996 0.01)2.46% (-0.0111 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.42% (0.040999999999997 0.04)11.58% (-0.039 -0.04)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.19% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)49.81% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.47% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)84.52% (0.032000000000011 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 89.51%
    VfL Bochum 3.35%
    Draw 7.13%
Bayern MunichDrawVfL Bochum
3-0 @ 10.38%
4-0 @ 9.62% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
5-0 @ 7.13% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 6.71%
2-1 @ 5.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 4.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 4.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
6-0 @ 4.4% (0.016 0.02)
6-1 @ 3.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
7-0 @ 2.33% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-1 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
8-0 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
6-2 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 89.51%
1-1 @ 3.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.04% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 7.13%
1-2 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 3.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-4 Bayern
Sunday, February 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 FC Koln
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Bayern
Friday, January 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 4-4 Salzburg
Friday, January 13 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: VfL Bochum 5-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 5-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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