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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
VB

Freiburg
1 - 0
VfL Bochum

Grifo (48')
Sallai (77'), Hofler (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stafylidis (42'), Riemann (48'), Reis (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Freiburg 2-0 VfL Bochum

While Bochum will be hungry to bite back after their thumping at the hands of Bayern last week, we expect Freiburg to be too strong for their opponents. Streich have the momentum and quality to challenge for the European places once again this season, whereas it would be a surprise if Bochum are not embroiled in a relegation battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
48.94% (0.18 0.18) 22.83% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 28.22% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 62% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.39% (0.121 0.12)38.6% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.09% (0.127 0.13)60.9% (-0.13 -0.13)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (0.10900000000001 0.11)16.06% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (0.202 0.2)45.42% (-0.204 -0.2)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.14% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)61.21% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 48.94%
    VfL Bochum 28.22%
    Draw 22.83%
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 48.94%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 Dortmund
Friday, August 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-4 Freiburg
Saturday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 1-2 Freiburg
Sunday, July 31 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-7 Bayern
Sunday, August 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-2 Mainz 05
Saturday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Viktoria Berlin 0-3 VfL Bochum
Saturday, July 30 at 12.01pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


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