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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
FL

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Freiburg

Philipp (46')
Gross (11'), Stark (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sallai (66'), Holer (71')
Doan (13'), Eggestein (31'), Sallai (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 Freiburg

Werder Bremen's matches have generally been open and entertaining all season long, and we do not expect any different in this meeting, especially with Werner's side almost safe from relegation danger. However, their slight concerns may be prolonged for a little longer if they fall to defeat against Freiburg, who will be highly motivated to return to winning ways in their quest to qualify for the Champions League for the first time in the club's history. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
41.74% (-0.156 -0.16) 24.35% (-0.115 -0.12) 33.91% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.491 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (0.606 0.61)43.08% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (0.596 0.6)65.48% (-0.596 -0.6)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (0.184 0.18)20.77% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59% (0.288 0.29)53.41% (-0.289 -0.29)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.44499999999999 0.44)24.8% (-0.445 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (0.616 0.62)59.38% (-0.617 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 41.74%
    Freiburg 33.91%
    Draw 24.35%
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.037 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mainz 2-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, April 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-2 Werder Bremen
Friday, March 17 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Freiburg
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Freiburg
Sunday, March 19 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-2 Juventus
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, March 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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