MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 21:38:43
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Wednesday, May 8
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FL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
LL

Freiburg
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Streich (78'), Grifo (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kampl (73')
Haidara (21'), Nkunku (36'), Laimer (64'), Kampl (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Freiburg 1-2 RB Leipzig

Leipzig will be hoping that Freiburg are still reeling from the effects of Tuesday's heavy defeat as they aim to climb above Saturday's opponents into the top four with another victory the Europa-Park Stadion. The hosts will be keen to put things right and respond well with an improved performance, but considering the threat that the visitors pose in attack, we expect Die Roten Bullen to outscore their opponents once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
24.43% (-0.044 -0.04) 22.35% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 53.22% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.99% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36% (-0.337 -0.34)39.64% (0.338 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)61.99% (0.353 0.35)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.218 -0.22)29.46% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.266 -0.27)65.47% (0.26599999999999 0.27)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (-0.125 -0.13)14.96% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.63% (-0.238 -0.24)43.37% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 24.43%
    RB Leipzig 53.22%
    Draw 22.35%
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 5.39% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.29% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 24.43%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.95% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.04% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 53.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Freiburg 1-5 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 4-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Freiburg
Sunday, April 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Freiburg
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-5 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, April 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Augsburg
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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