Bochum seem to have lost their air of invincibility on home territory in recent weeks with two successive 2-0 defeats at Vonovia-Ruhrstadion, and we can envisage a repeat scoreline on Saturday.
Leipzig will be determined to bounce back from their thrashing in Europe in midweek to ensure that their top four hopes remain in their own hands heading into the final stretch of the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 0-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
