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Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Europa Park Stadium
JL

Freiburg
0 - 2
Juventus


Gulde (26'), Hofler (44'), Sallai (87'), Streich (88')
Gulde (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vlahovic (45' pen.), Chiesa (90+5')
Vlahovic (56'), Iling (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Juventus (Juventus win 2-1 on aggregate)

In search of redemption for recent off-field misdeeds - and also a first European trophy since 1996 - Juventus are sure to take their task very seriously. As Freiburg have been short of top form for a while, the Bianconeri's greater individual quality and experience at this level - both evident in the first leg - should see them through to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawJuventus
39.22% (1.141 1.14) 26% (0.108 0.11) 34.78% (-1.244 -1.24)
Both teams to score 54.05% (-0.513 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (-0.593 -0.59)50.33% (0.596 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-0.528 -0.53)72.27% (0.53100000000001 0.53)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (0.349 0.35)25.2% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (0.474 0.47)59.94% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-1.025 -1.02)27.74% (1.028 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (-1.334 -1.33)63.31% (1.337 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 39.22%
    Juventus 34.78%
    Draw 26%
FreiburgDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 9.63% (0.323 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.286 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.16 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 39.22%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.166 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.97% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, March 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Freiburg
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-0 Freiburg
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, February 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Freiburg
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Juventus 4-2 Sampdoria
Sunday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Freiburg
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-2 Torino
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Juventus
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, February 19 at 5pm in Serie A


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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