We can envisage an entertaining encounter at the Weserstadion on Friday night, especially if Hertha continue with the 4-2-2-2 system which they deployed for their win against Schalke last weekend.
That would mean both teams playing with two out-and-out strikers, with a score draw arguably the most likely outcome given Bremen's drop-off in form in recent weeks.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 55.83%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
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