No Gregoritsch will make this a difficult day for Freiburg and Hertha have been defensively resolute for the most part this season. They could spring a surprise, but a draw is a more likely result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.32) 
-0.03) 
