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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 1, 2022 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
IL

Bayern
2 - 0
Inter Milan

Pavard (32'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (72')
Sabitzer (38'), Kimmich (48'), Stanisic (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gosens (40'), Carboni (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 6-2 Mainz
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 Inter Milan

Inter will bring a four-game winning run into this match, and the Italian outfit deserve a lot of credit for their performances in Europe this season. Bayern are so difficult to back against, though, and we are expecting the German champions to put another win on the board to make it a 100% record in the group stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawInter Milan
45.7% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 26.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 27.89% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.96% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.71% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)54.29% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)75.68% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)23.7% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)57.82% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)34.52% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)71.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 45.7%
    Inter Milan 27.9%
    Draw 26.4%
Bayern MunichDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.48% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.7%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 27.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bayern 6-2 Mainz
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Barcelona 0-3 Bayern
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-5 Bayern
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Freiburg
Sunday, October 16 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Plzen 2-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Saturday, October 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Plzen
Wednesday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 16 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A


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