SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
17.8% ( -0.1) | 22.55% ( -0.05) | 59.65% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.03% ( 0.04) | 48.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.94% ( 0.04) | 71.05% ( -0.04) |
| Viktoria Plzen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.75% ( -0.1) | 41.24% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.23% ( -0.09) | 77.77% ( 0.09) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% ( 0.06) | 16.04% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.61% ( 0.12) | 45.39% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.8% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.07% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.76% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 59.64% |
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