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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
P

Brugge
0 - 4
Porto


Odoi (28'), Sylla (54'), Onyedika (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taremi (33', 70'), Evanilson (57'), Eustaquio (60')
Eustaquio (29'), Otavio (42'), Carmo (49'), Uribe (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 2-2 Brugge
Saturday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Benfica
Friday, October 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Club Brugge 1-2 Porto

Desperate not only for Champions League progression, but also to make up for an O Classico defeat on Friday, Porto should come into this game extremely motivated to get the three points. Club Brugge are yet to concede in the Champions League this season and will not roll over easily, but their early qualification could open the door for a crucial away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Porto had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Club BruggeDrawPorto
42.02% (-0.251 -0.25) 22.24% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 35.73% (0.227 0.23)
Both teams to score 68.05% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.78% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)32.21% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.18% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)53.81% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)16.15% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.39% (-0.211 -0.21)45.6% (0.207 0.21)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.082000000000008 0.08)18.83% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.73% (0.146 0.15)50.27% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 42.02%
    Porto 35.73%
    Draw 22.24%
Club BruggeDrawPorto
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 7.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.3% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.24% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.92% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.64% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Union SG 2-2 Brugge
Saturday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 3-0 Sint-Truiden
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 0-1 Brugge
Sunday, October 16 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Atletico 0-0 Brugge
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Brugge 0-2 Westerlo
Saturday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 2-0 Atletico
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Benfica
Friday, October 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-3 Porto
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Portimonense 0-2 Porto
Saturday, October 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Porto 4-1 Braga
Friday, September 30 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-1 Porto
Saturday, September 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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