Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.