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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
BL

Bristol City
5 - 0
Blackburn

Conway (24', 32' pen.), Mehmeti (73'), Wells (78' pen., 90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 Bristol City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-0 Southampton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Blackburn Rovers

Both teams have shown an improvement in form of late, putting a positive spin on matters in the short term. For us, we can only see a low-scoring draw being played out, a result that Blackburn would gratefully accept at this stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
39.7% (0.20500000000001 0.21) 25.35% (-0.132 -0.13) 34.95% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.32% (0.445 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (0.579 0.58)47.42% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (0.535 0.54)69.64% (-0.535 -0.53)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (0.36499999999999 0.36)23.64% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (0.523 0.52)57.73% (-0.523 -0.52)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (0.23100000000001 0.23)26.24% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (0.306 0.31)61.35% (-0.307 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 39.7%
    Blackburn Rovers 34.95%
    Draw 25.34%
Bristol CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 39.7%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 34.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 Bristol City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Bristol City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Leicester
Friday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-0 Southampton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-5 Blackburn
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Ipswich
Friday, March 29 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Blackburn
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Millwall
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship


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