Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
