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BC
Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate
QL

Bristol City
1 - 2
QPR

Scott (3')
King (45+3'), Weimann (67')
King (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Austin (45+3' pen.), Barbet (90+3')
Dunne (22'), Dykes (65'), Field (74')

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

Bristol City will fancy their chances of inflicting another damaging defeat on a QPR side who have suffered back-to-back defeats. However, we are backing the visitors to return to winning ways, potentially by the odd goal in three against opponents who have a tendency to concede late goals at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Bristol CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
27.55%26.5%45.95%
Both teams to score 49.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.14%54.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.85%76.15%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9%35.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15%71.84%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17%23.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42%58%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 27.55%
    Queens Park Rangers 45.94%
    Draw 26.49%
Bristol CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 8.76%
2-1 @ 6.58%
2-0 @ 4.58%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 27.55%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.36%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 11.99%
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-2 @ 8.6%
1-3 @ 4.31%
0-3 @ 4.11%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 45.94%

Read more!
Read more!


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