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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
RL

Bristol City
1 - 1
Reading

Conway (45+2')
Taylor-Clarke (23'), Mehmeti (65'), James (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Joao (72')
Holmes (4'), Yiadom (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Reading

Both teams required the international break to reset ahead of the run-in, and it remains to be seen who that suited the most. With home advantage in their favour, we have to back Bristol City, albeit in a close match and where they may only prevail by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawReading
53.82% (0.098000000000006 0.1) 25.05% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 21.13% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 47.27% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.52% (0.078000000000003 0.08)54.48% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16% (0.065999999999999 0.07)75.84% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (0.072000000000003 0.07)20.23% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.45% (0.11199999999999 0.11)52.55% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)40.74% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)77.32% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 53.81%
    Reading 21.13%
    Draw 25.04%
Bristol CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 53.81%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.27%
0-3 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 21.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 11 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Bristol City
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, March 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-3 Man City
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Reading
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-0 Reading
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 3-1 Blackpool
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship


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