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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 13, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Turf Moor
BL

Burnley
3 - 0
Blackburn

Barnes (55', 81'), Zaroury (74')
Cork (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Travis (42'), Ayala (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 3-1 Crawley
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Burnley 1-1 Blackburn Rovers

While Blackburn are yet to record a draw in the Championship this season, they did so in midweek in the EFL Cup, showing that they are capable of battling back in that situation. We feel that something similar could occur at Turf Moor, Burnley holding a lead before Rovers claim a late leveller. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBlackburn Rovers
69.64% (2.099 2.1) 18.95% (-0.581 -0.58) 11.41% (-1.518 -1.52)
Both teams to score 44.64% (-2.783 -2.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32% (-1.191 -1.19)46.67% (1.191 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06% (-1.127 -1.13)68.94% (1.128 1.13)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (0.241 0.24)12.24% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.06% (0.503 0.5)37.94% (-0.502 -0.5)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.87% (-3.318 -3.32)49.13% (3.32 3.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.95% (-2.475 -2.48)84.05% (2.474 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 69.63%
    Blackburn Rovers 11.41%
    Draw 18.95%
BurnleyDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-0 @ 13.26% (0.89 0.89)
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.73 0.73)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.236 -0.24)
3-0 @ 9.29% (0.701 0.7)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 4.88% (0.409 0.41)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.271 -0.27)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.189 0.19)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3%
Total : 69.63%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.311 -0.31)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 18.95%
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-2 @ 3.19% (-0.435 -0.44)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.224 -0.22)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 11.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burnley 3-1 Crawley
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Utd 5-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 5 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 3-2 Rotherham
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Blackburn (9-10 pen.)
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Blackburn
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Blackburn
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship


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