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Championship | Gameweek 38
Jun 21, 2020 at 12pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
LL

Cardiff
2 - 0
Leeds

Hoilett (36'), Glatzel (72')
Adomah (42'), Hoilett (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Costa (37'), Phillips (45+1'), Roberts (57'), Klich (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLeeds United
19.74%23.16%57.1%
Both teams to score 50.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.25%48.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.14%70.86%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.07%38.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35%75.65%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16%16.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.16%46.83%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 19.74%
    Leeds United 57.09%
    Draw 23.16%
Cardiff CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.18%
2-1 @ 5.2%
2-0 @ 2.92%
3-1 @ 1.64%
3-2 @ 1.46%
3-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 19.74%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 11.67%
0-2 @ 10.4%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-3 @ 6.18%
1-3 @ 5.83%
0-4 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 2.6%
2-4 @ 1.23%
0-5 @ 0.98%
1-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 57.09%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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