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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
ML

Cardiff
0 - 1
Millwall


Rinomhota (38'), Allsop (62'), Kipre (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (26')
Bradshaw (20'), Cooper (28'), Styles (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 5-2 Cardiff
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Millwall

Cardiff are in danger of slipping into the relegation zone in the Championship while they scramble to appoint a new manager, with the Welsh side needing to find a way to earn three points on Saturday. Millwall have faltered on the road this season so will be not expecting to breeze past a struggling Cardiff side, meaning a share of the spoils is likely this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
43.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 27.13% (0.0020000000000024 0) 29.43% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.32% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)25.72% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)60.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)71.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 43.43%
    Millwall 29.43%
    Draw 27.13%
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 43.43%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 29.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leeds 5-2 Cardiff
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-2 Leeds
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Cardiff
Sunday, January 1 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Cardiff
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 QPR
Monday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Rotherham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Bristol City
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-2 Millwall
Monday, December 26 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship


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