SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Coventry City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Leeds United |
38.3% ( -2.25) | 24.79% ( 1.24) | 36.91% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.51% ( -4.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( -5.87) | 44.7% ( 5.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( -5.92) | 67.06% ( 5.93) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( -3.63) | 23.14% ( 3.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.99% ( -5.62) | 57.01% ( 5.63) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( -2.13) | 23.88% ( 2.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.93% ( -3.16) | 58.08% ( 3.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 1.16)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.57)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.63)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.41)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.39)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.3% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 1.01) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.53)0-0 @ 5.53% ( 1.29)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.42)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 1.44)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.73)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.46)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.24)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.91% |
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