This is a very interesting match between two strong sides, and both will be eyeing a huge three points to aid their playoff hopes. We are finding it difficult to separate them, though, and believe that a low-scoring draw will occur on Tuesday night, which would not be the worst result for either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Luton Town
41.56%	27.86%	30.58%

Both teams to score 47.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.46%

58.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.88%

79.12%

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.26%

27.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68%

63.32%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.28%

34.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.55%

71.45%

Score Analysis

Coventry City 41.55%

Luton Town 30.59%

Draw 27.85%

Coventry City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 12.34% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.83% Total : 41.55%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.63% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.19% Total : 30.59%