With both teams having built some momentum, this has all the makings of an entertaining contest. There are more vulnerabilities in the Watford ranks than within their hosts, yet we feel that the Hornets will do enough to earn a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Watford had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
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