SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Leeds United |
58.85% ( 1.49) | 21.18% ( -0.02) | 19.97% ( -1.47) |
| Both teams to score 57.77% ( -2.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.32% ( -1.97) | 39.68% ( 1.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.97% ( -2.07) | 62.03% ( 2.07) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.79% ( -0.2) | 13.2% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.07% ( -0.4) | 39.93% ( 0.39) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.56% ( -2.52) | 33.44% ( 2.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.93% ( -2.85) | 70.07% ( 2.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.68)1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.73)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.85% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.33)0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.97% |
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