SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Sunderland |
43.17% ( -0.06) | 23.69% ( -0.04) | 33.14% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 61.74% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.84% ( 0.21) | 40.16% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.47% ( 0.22) | 62.52% ( -0.21) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.08% ( 0.06) | 18.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.58% ( 0.1) | 50.42% ( -0.1) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( 0.16) | 23.86% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.96% ( 0.22) | 58.04% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 43.17% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.14% |
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