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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
ML

Leicester
3 - 2
Millwall

Vestergaard (48'), Daka (52'), Pereira (78')
Coady (37'), Faes (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (10'), Nisbet (90+3')
Harding (13'), Cooper (21'), Wallace (24'), Saville (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 4-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Millwall

Leicester were convincing winners over Plymouth on the weekend, and there is no reason to suggest why the Foxes cannot repeat the trick against a Millwall side who could look to be quite progressive at the King Power. The Lions' tricky run of fixtures culminates on Wednesday night in the East Midlands, where we feel that Edwards's side will be the next victims of the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawMillwall
53.97% (-1.704 -1.7) 24.35% (0.727 0.73) 21.68% (0.982 0.98)
Both teams to score 50% (-0.837 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.76% (-1.802 -1.8)51.24% (1.808 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (-1.598 -1.6)73.07% (1.604 1.6)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (-1.31 -1.31)18.91% (1.316 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.59% (-2.233 -2.23)50.41% (2.239 2.24)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)38.33% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)75.09% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 53.96%
    Millwall 21.68%
    Draw 24.35%
Leicester CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.07% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 53.96%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.511 0.51)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.484 0.48)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.228 0.23)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leicester 4-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-2 Leicester
Saturday, December 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Leicester
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Watford
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Leicester
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Leeds
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-1 Millwall
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Coventry
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-4 Millwall
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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