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Championship | Gameweek 46
Jul 22, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
BL

Luton
3 - 2
Blackburn

Carter (28' og.), Johnson (35' og.), Collins (59' pen.)
Cornick (65'), Carter-Vickers (83'), Hylton (89'), Berry (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Armstrong (10'), Gallagher (75')
Travis (37')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawBlackburn Rovers
31.57%25.22%43.21%
Both teams to score 55.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.25%47.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05%69.94%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49%28.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72%64.28%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93%22.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59%55.41%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 31.57%
    Blackburn Rovers 43.21%
    Draw 25.21%
Luton TownDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 7.89%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 4.95%
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.57%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 9.5%
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-2 @ 7.18%
1-3 @ 4.54%
0-3 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.21%


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