Luton Luton Town
3-2
Derby Derby County

Ruddock (67'), Daniels (74'), Bogle (86' og.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mark Rooney (63'), Martin (85')
Lowe (88')

Data Analysis

Match Report

Reaction

Phillip Cocu: 'Derby only have ourselves to blame for Luton defeat'

The Match

Match Report

The former England captain opened his Derby account but finished on the losing side.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%).

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Derby County
39.91%	25.2%	34.89%

Both teams to score 56.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.21%

46.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.95%

69.05%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.74%

23.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.82%

57.18%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02%

25.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39%

60.99%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 39.91%

Derby County 34.89%

Draw 25.19%

Luton Town	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.43% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.12% Total : 39.91%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 8.14% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.89%