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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
PN

Middlesbrough
4 - 0
Preston

Akpom (22'), Archer (52', 58'), Forss (90+5')
Steffen (50'), Forss (76'), Fry (78'), Bola (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (45+2'), Fernandez (67'), Diaby (76'), Delap (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Stoke
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Preston
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 3-1 Preston North End

With Preston travelling to the North East full of confidence, they will relish the opportunity to further derail Middlesbrough's automatic promotion bid. However, the home side's extra quality in attack may prove key, and we expect Carrick's side to come through in an entertaining fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawPreston North End
62.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 22.01% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 15.57% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.45% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (0.058 0.06)50.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (0.051000000000002 0.05)72.37% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02)15.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)44.61% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.05% (0.052 0.05)44.95% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.11% (0.042000000000002 0.04)80.9% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 62.41%
    Preston North End 15.57%
    Draw 22.01%
MiddlesbroughDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 62.41%
1-1 @ 10.42%
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 22.01%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 15.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Stoke
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-0 Reading
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 QPR
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-3 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Preston
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Preston
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-0 Coventry
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Preston
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship


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