This has all the makings of a highly-competitive game and Norwich will be confident of becoming just the third team to defeat Millwall at The Den this season. However, we feel that a share of the spoils is most likely, one which would still suit the visitors more so than their hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
0.18) 
-0.01) 
