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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
SL

Norwich
2 - 2
Swansea

Sara (34'), Sargent (45+3')
Gunn (53'), McCallum (77'), McLean (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Paterson (24'), Grimes (53' pen.)
Paterson (45'), Cullen (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Swansea City

This has the makings of an entertaining encounter given that Swansea have been one of the form teams in the division over the past couple of weeks. However, we cannot ignore Norwich's home form, leading us to predict a hard-earned triumph for the Canaries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Swansea City win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
57.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 21.79% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 20.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.16% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.8% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)41.19% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)63.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)14.17% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.14% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)41.85% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)70.03% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 57.3%
    Swansea City 20.91%
    Draw 21.79%
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.79%
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 20.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Norwich
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 Ipswich
Saturday, April 6 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 3-1 Norwich
Monday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Stoke
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Swansea
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Swansea
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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