This has all the makings of a thrilling contest, with Plymouth playing with the confidence that comes with having made a fast start and Southampton seeing goals scored at both ends of the pitch. It leaves us to predict a high-scoring draw, one which will suit the home side more so than the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
-2.4) 
1.32) 
