Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
