QPR are unbeaten in their last six league meetings with Middlesbrough, and we think that the hosts will extend that run by playing out a draw on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.14) 
