All things considered, it would come as a surprise if there were many goals in this contest. Birmingham are capable of prevailing by the narrowest of margins, but we are backing the Baggies to edge this contest by the odd goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 14.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
