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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
The Hawthorns
LL

West Brom
1 - 0
Leeds

Diangana (37')
Kipre (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gruev (46')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Leeds
Tuesday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-2 Leeds United

West Brom were able to control a Norwich side who looked to camp in with 10 men on Boxing Day, but Leeds will pose a different challenge in this one. The Whites will be desperate to respond following an off day at Preston, and we feel that Farke's men will share the spoils at The Hawthorns after an exciting contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawLeeds United
41.37% (-0.131 -0.13) 25.38% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 33.25% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.79% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (-0.117 -0.12)47.94% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (-0.107 -0.11)70.11% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)23.03% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (-0.169 -0.17)56.84% (0.17 0.17)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.52% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)63.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 41.37%
    Leeds United 33.25%
    Draw 25.38%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 West Brom
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 West Brom
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-2 Leicester
Saturday, December 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Leeds
Tuesday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Ipswich
Saturday, December 23 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Leeds
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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