SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 46.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
26.41% ( 0.22) | 27.32% ( 0.03) | 46.27% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 46.33% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.54% ( 0.01) | 58.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.95% ( 0.01) | 79.05% ( -0.01) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62% ( 0.2) | 38% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.23% ( 0.19) | 74.76% ( -0.19) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( -0.12) | 25.26% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% ( -0.17) | 60.02% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 26.41% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.26% |
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