Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
