Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
0.72) 
-0.76) 
