Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.