Bragantino are already assured of a spot in the knockout stages, but they will be determined to finish top of the pile in Group C ahead of Estudiantes.
Tacuary will look to end their Sudamericana campaign with a shock result on Wednesday, although we believe the Paraguayans will come away from Sao Paulo empty handed.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 78.44%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Tacuary had a probability of 7.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.55%) and 1-0 (11.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Tacuary win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
1.31) 
-0.55) 
