Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%).
0.49) 
-0.08) 
