While Hertha Berlin have not been at their best this season, they have maintained a solid record at home and enter this match unbeaten in their last five league matches on their their home patch. Die Alte Dame also beat this opponent just last month, and we feel they will be the ones to progress to the semis with another win in midweek.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.
-0.04) 
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