Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 67.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
