Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 53.26%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
0.02) 
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