Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for De Graafschap in this match.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	Helmond Sport
62.88% ( 0.16)	20.8% ( 0)	16.32% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 51.9% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56% (

-0.31)

44% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.61% (

-0.3)

66.39% (

0.3)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.62% (

-0.05)

13.38% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.71% (

-0.1)

40.29% (

0.1)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.91% (

-0.39)

40.09% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.27% (

-0.36)

76.73% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 62.87%

Helmond Sport 16.32%

Draw 20.8%

De Graafschap	Draw	Helmond Sport
2-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 62.87%	1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.8%	0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.32%